Saturday, February 11, 2012

谢国忠:2012中国泡沫爆掉



谢国忠
1960年出生于上海,
1983年毕业于同济大学路桥系
1987年获麻省理工学院土木工程学硕士
1990年获麻省理工学院经济学博士

同年加入世界银行,担任经济分析员。谢国忠所参与的项目涉及拉美、南亚及东亚地区,并负责处理该银行于印尼的工商业发展项目,以及其他亚太地区国家的电讯及电力发展项目。

1995年加入澳洲麦格理银行新加坡分行,担任企业财务部的联席董事。

1997年加入摩根士丹利,任亚太区经济学家。《机构投资者》杂志在2000-2006年选谢国忠博士为亚洲最佳经济学家

2006年9月,谢在内部邮件中批评新加坡经济事实上以来自马来西亚和印尼的非法资金,认为新加坡经济成功依赖于为印尼洗钱。迫于新加坡当局的压力,谢离开摩根士丹利,现­为独立经济学家和金融投资顾问,玫瑰石顾问公司董事。自1997年以来,谢国忠成功预测了亚洲金融危机,香港楼市下跌50%,中国经济走向通缩,石油跌破30美元,美国和­世界经济衰退,中国A股跌破2500点等经济大势,提前两个月到数年不等(也有其他预测并未应验,如上海楼市泡沫破裂,人民币2年内不会升值等),也因此被有些媒体指责成­"空军司令"。

Source/转贴/Extract/Excerpts: youtube
Publish date:02/01/12

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Warren E. Buffett(沃伦•巴菲特)
Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful
别人贪婪时我恐惧, 别人恐惧时我贪婪
投资只需学好两门课: 一,是如何给企业估值,二,是如何看待股市波动
吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)
“错过时机”胜于“搞错对象”:不会全军覆没!”
做自己熟悉的事,等到发现大好机会才投钱下去

乔治·索罗斯(George Soros)

“犯错误并没有什么好羞耻的,只有知错不改才是耻辱。”

如果操作过量,即使对市场判断正确,仍会一败涂地。

李驰(中国巴菲特)
高估期间, 卖对, 不卖也对, 买是错的。
低估期间, 买对, 不买也是对, 卖是错的。

Tan Teng Boo


There’s no such thing as defensive stocks.Every stock can be defensive depending on what price you pay for it and what value you get,
冷眼(冯时能)投资概念
“买股票就是买公司的股份,买股份就是与陌生人合股做生意”。
合股做生意,则公司股份的业绩高于一切,而股票的价值决定于盈利。
价值是本,价格是末,故公司比股市重要百倍。
曹仁超-香港股神/港股明灯
1.有智慧,不如趁势
2.止损不止盈
成功者所以成功,是因为不怕失败!失败者所以失败,是失败后不再尝试!
曾淵滄-散户明灯
每逢灾难就是机会,而是在灾难发生时贱价买股票,然后放在一边,耐性地等灾难结束
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